Assassination of Iran's Supreme Leader Will Not Cause Immediate Collapse, But Will Lead to Increased Hardening

The assassination of Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei does not mean the Iranian regime will immediately collapse. This is a hasty understanding that reflects more 'wild imagination' than serious analysis. Yes, we are feeling a major seismic shock, the most dangerous blow since the establishment of the Islamic Republic in 1979. But the important political question is not how bad the blow was, but rather, was the system designed to withstand such a massive shock?Evidence so far shows that the Iranian system was designed from the beginning not to be merely the shadow of one person, no matter how high that...